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Search Results for: economy

  • Media View: Dubai's Economy.

    11-01-2010

    Of late, fewer commentaries predict the imminent demise of the emirate of Dubai; no fresh allusions to the English romantic Shelleys celebrated poem, Ozymandias , have appeared. Instead, a current trickle of positive economic news may herald a returning confidence in the region, and especially in the longer-term outlook for Dubai. Opinion, however, remains divided.

    img Angus Taverner
    Director- Global Affairs


  • The Economic Effects of Ramadan: An Analysis

    15-06-2016

    During the holy month of Ramadan, Muslims across the world are obligated to fast between dawn and sunset. While the physiological effects of fasting are well studied and accounted for, there are fewer analyses on the economic consequences of Ramadan. However, in an increasingly-global market place, and particularly for Dubai and Abu Dhabi as centres of international commerce, questions about the economic effects of Ramadan are becoming increasingly important to international markets and investors. 

    img Elizabeth McKinney-Bennett
    Senior Non-Resident Fellow -Global Affairs


  • Gulf Monetary Break-Up

    11-01-2010

    The UAEs decision to withdraw from the GCCs long-planned move towards monetary union surprised many observers last week and left commentators trying to assess its underlying significance. However, to dismiss the UAEs decision simply as a tantrum is, arguably, to underestimate the sophistication of the countrys political development and its growing diplomatic importance and authority in global affairs.

    img Angus Taverner
    Director- Global Affairs


  • A Tail That Wags The Dog

    11-01-2010

    If you don't know what a "Fat Tail" is, don't get upset. Until a few weeks ago very few people knew what it is. However, it is becoming the buzzword in any intellectual discussion concerning the UAE. Western media and think tanks alike are using the phrase that Eurasia group's CEO Ian Bremmer used in his latest book "The Fat Tail: The power of Political Knowledge for Strategic Investing." While including countries like Pakistan, Nigeria, and Mexico in the list may not raise many brows, giving 10% instability risk especially to the UAE does.

    img Mohammed Baharoon
    Director General


  • Flight from Debt

    11-01-2010

    It seems curious that a number of Dubai-based correspondents are continuing to discuss Dubai in a relatively negative manner when many respected analysts and observers report that the prospects for the emirate are improving.

    img Angus Taverner
    Director- Global Affairs


  • The Dubai World Standstill

    11-01-2010

    The UAE faces a challenge that is as much media as it is financial. On November 25 Dubais Department of Finance announced a six-month standstill for restructuring the debts of certain subordinate parts of the government-created Dubai World holding company. Professions of shock and fear reverberated in international news media, financial markets, and currency and commodity markets as well as UAE markets.

    img Dr.Kenneth L. Wise
    Senior Non-Resident Fellow -Public Policy


  • Dubai World Expectations

    21-04-2010

    The worlds financial media purred with pleasure at the better than expected terms on offer and international markets had the whole of the following day to participate in an upwards surge in response to the news. How different this was from the froth and near panic that greeted the announcement exactly four months earlier that Dubai World would be seeking a debt payment standstill, with many luridly describing this as tantamount to a wholesale, national default.

    img Angus Taverner
    Director- Global Affairs


  • Inflation, Deflation, Stagflation?

    26-01-2010

    Classical economics tells us that inflation comes from too much money chasing too few goods while deflation will arise from too many workers chasing too few jobs. Can we have both? Will it look like the stagflation of the 1970s...or something else?

    img Kay Wise
    Principal Consultant


  • Disputed Islands and Occupation

    09-05-2010

    UAE leadership is trying to demonstrate a clear divide between the UAE and Iran ahead of not just further UN sanctions but also the more imminent likelihood of stronger US unilateral measures. With the international mood toughening toward Iran, the UAE may be signaling that it too has now set its face firmly against Iranian pressure. Given the widespread perception that the UAE, particularly through Dubai, remains Irans primary conduit for trading with the world, Sheikh Abdullahs words may intend both to underline the UAEs separation from Iran and to dampen international attention to the trade linkages. [Finally] the UAE seems..to have lost patience and is testing the international resolve to support the UAE in settling this islands dispute.

    img Angus Taverner
    Director- Global Affairs


  • Iran The Spectre of Sanctions

    27-06-2010

    After more than a year of preparatory diplomacy, the Obama administration led the UN Security Council (UNSC) into imposing a fourth round of sanctions against Iran over its refusal to give ground on its nuclear programme. The merchandise the UNSC produced, however, may be as detrimental to the rest of the Gulf neighborhood as it is to Iran. The UAE seems to be showing that it will, as it has in each of the preceding three rounds of sanctions, live up to its UN obligations. This early initiative may help deflect some of the pressure that will flow toward the UAE from the sanctions that the US and the EU will try to impose in excess of the UN sanctions.

    img Angus Taverner
    Director- Global Affairs


  • Dubai and Emirates The Hub of Success

    30-06-2010

    The Emirates Airlines offer is so obviously attractive that one has to question why no one else is doing it. Until they do, the carriers strategy will continue to pour people and resources into Dubai and the UAE. At its heart, Dubai is and always will be a trading hub and reshipment point. But to maintain success amongst mounting regional competition Dubai also has to remain cost effective - low tariffs, minimally invasive regulations, and reasonable operating costs.

    img Angus Taverner
    Director- Global Affairs


  • Unity Grows from Necessity

    15-08-2010

    The western media went into overdrive, portraying Dubai variously as being on the verge of collapse, being taken over by its larger, wealthier neighbour emirate Abu Dhabi, and as a possible harbinger of a wider global economic collapse a metaphorical flapping of an Emirati butterflys wings that would bring chaos to the world

    img Angus Taverner
    Director- Global Affairs


  • Signs of Returning Confidence

    05-10-2010

    Upon DWs statement that it had the agreement of 99% of its creditors for the new debt structure and expected the final settlement within weeks, the government of Dubai appears to have shifted to offense. Dubais ruler broke off from his preparations for an Horseriding Endurance Race in Lexington (in which he subsequently came second and the UAE team took Gold) to give an interview for Bloomberg TV. He insisted that we are back and that he continues to be excited by the challenge of Dubais endurance ride on the road to recovery.

    img Angus Taverner
    Director- Global Affairs


  • The Economic Drag of Real Estate

    07-10-2010

    A recent assessment of Dubais commercial real estate sector office and commercial space attracted widespread interest in the international media because of the reports mordant conclusion that one of the ways that Dubai could cope with insufficient property demand would be to demolish some of its office blocks.

    img Angus Taverner
    Director- Global Affairs


  • IMF versus Grounds for Optimism

    30-05-2011

    A year and a half ago, many international commentators forecast that Dubai was on the verge of collapse monumental in size.

    img Angus Taverner
    Director- Global Affairs


  • Property: Failing to Find Economic Equilibrium

    31-05-2011

    The large construction projects in ...emirates ... have produced an over-supply of property that is making it difficult to establish a floor under this troubled sector of the UAE's economy.

    img Angus Taverner
    Director- Global Affairs


  • A Report on the Implications of the Global Financial Crises for the UAE and Dubai in Specific - Nov 2008

    01-10-2011

    We propose a two-pronged strategy to deal with this crisis in order to protect the higher interests of the country and emirates. First: Work on providing the strategic commodities such as food, water and energy, because these basic goods are strategic to protecting the national security of any country. Second: Fund development projects in all vital sectors, especially education and health, providing a solid foundation of key staff and qualified and trained human resources.

    img Ibrahim Karsany
    Former Director, Public Policy Division


  • Strategic Objectives for Transforming Dubai into a Knowledge-based Economy

    15-10-2011

    Formulating Dubais development strategy for Knowledge-based Economy...will provide the main signposts, or road map, marking them out from the central pillar of the prime goal. The sense of direction that will come out of this roadmap will facilitate the appropriate formulation of Dubais development strategy and will increase the success rate of its implementation. by Ibrahim Kursany (Ph.D) Director, Economic Studies Division, Bhuth

    img Ibrahim Karsany
    Former Director, Public Policy Division


  • Ending the two-state solution

    11-12-2012

    Starting in 1993 the Israelis tried to prevent the emergence of an independent Palestinian state either under Yasser Arafat or Mahmoud Abbas or Hamas leaders. The enemy for the Israelis is the idea not the persons.

    img Mohammad Fadhel Al Obaidly
    Advisor, Public Opinion Research Center


  • Quantitative Analysis of the Electoral Bodies in the UAE for 2011

    15-08-2011

    In preparation for voter registration and candidate filings for the September election of the next Federal National Council, the National Election Committee of the UAE announced an electoral college of about 129,000 personsa 19-fold increase over the 2006 election. Bhuths emirate by emirate analysis of this electorate shows marked increase in the proportion of women and younger personsimportant steps in moving toward full political participation for all UAE citizens.

    img Yasir Al-Muqbel
    Senior Non-Resident Fellow -Pubic Opinion Studies


  • National Security & Economic Policy

    15-11-2015

    It has become necessary to take economic policy into consideration when preparing the strategy of the national security...

    img Ibrahim Karsany
    Former Director, Public Policy Division


  • Iran's Energy

    10-09-2015

    The impact a realignment of Western relations with #Iran on the global oil market...

    img Angus Taverner
    Director- Global Affairs


  • The Impending Economic Scenarios after Irans Deal

    02-09-2015

    the lifting of sanctions will only take place by the spring of 2016, there is plenty of time to keep an eye for the many indicators to come

    img Angus Taverner
    Director- Global Affairs


  • The AIIB: A Great Leap Towards China's Century

    03-04-2015

    China is paving the way for positioning itself as the number one world economic power in the twenty first century

    img Ibrahim Karsany
    Former Director, Public Policy Division


  • Sustaining prosperity or exhausting it?

    30-04-2014

    It almost seems like 'cost of living' is the new catch phrase in Dubai.

    img Mohammad Fadhel Al Obaidly
    Advisor, Public Opinion Research Center


  • Turkey: A dangerous recipe for success

    24-03-2014

    Is Erdogan betting that economic success will convince Turks to overlook tyranny?

    img Mohammad Fadhel Al Obaidly
    Advisor, Public Opinion Research Center


  • Distorted version of Sudans history

    01-10-2013

    Why did the current Sudanese regime respond in an overtly fierce manner towards protests which resulted in the deaths of dozens of people?

    img Mohammad Fadhel Al Obaidly
    Advisor, Public Opinion Research Center


  • Dubai and Iran Sanctions

    20-03-2013

    Recently the world learned what the intelligence community has known for many months, if not years: that Iran is building a second nuclear enrichment centre in the mountains near Qom. For once, the world seemed a little less forgiving of Irans attempts to obfuscate. The media rained questions on the revelation: why build it inside a mountain? Why hide it for so long? Wasnt this similar to the forced revelation of Natanz back in 2002? When would the IAEA inspectors be allowed to visit? Would they face restrictions?

    img Angus Taverner
    Director- Global Affairs


  • Long - Term Strategies For Dubais Economy

    30-08-2011

    To expand its socio-economic achievements, consolidate its development success story and compete in the New Economy, Dubai needs to adopt some basic long-term strategies. These strategies, if adopted, might ensure the continuity of the growth of Dubais economy smoothly along the road of sustainable development.

    img Ibrahim Karsany
    Former Director, Public Policy Division


  • Dilma leaves but problems in Brazil remain

    21-06-2016

    Millions of Brazilians who went to the streets to celebrate the  removal of President Dilma Rousseff  will not live better, with at least 100 million citizens celebrating the beginning of the impeachment procedure for President Rousseff, whom as of 12th May 2016, is no longer  the head of state of Brazil. 

    img Rudy Simonassi
    Senior Non- Resident Fellow- Global Affairs


  • UAE Beyond Oil

    25-06-2016

    Oil prices have remarkably decreased since June 2014, as the price of a barrel of crude oil dropped below $ 50 at the beginning of January 2015, and continued to fall until it reached about $ 30/ barrel in last January. So, beside supply and demand, what are the other factors affecting the global oil market, and hence oil prices?

    img Ibrahim Karsany
    Former Director, Public Policy Division


  • National Strategic Integration

    31-08-2016

    The question is: What are the requirements for preserving this prestigious stature based on the accredited and credible global indices?

    img Ibrahim Karsany
    Former Director, Public Policy Division


  • The Central Bank of Yemen: a weapon of war?

    26-09-2016

    The war in Yemen is not limited to the political and military confrontations. Rather it comprises the economic factor which has always played as a latent factor during all conflicts in Yemen, whether in launching a conflict or in terminating it.

    img Dr. Haifa AlMaashi
    Director, Geo-strategic Affairs Division


  • Flying into Danger - Gulf Carriers Face Trade War

    12-03-2017

    This Sunday, Emirates is due to inaugurate its latest service to the United States – a route from Dubai to Newark that stops over in Athens and allows passengers to join the flight at that stage – a so-called ‘fifth freedom’ service under Open Skies protocols.  Similar to the two-year-old route from Dubai to JFK Airport New York that stops over in Milan, Emirates’ competitors sense a threat as the Dubai carrier starts to eat into what are generally perceived as lucrative and jealously guarded transatlantic routes.  Today, if you are a passenger wishing to travel to New York from Athens, except during the summer months, you have no choice but to stopover in another European hub.  From Sunday, Emirates in effect launches the first, year-round, non

    img Angus Taverner
    Director- Global Affairs


  • The Weekly: Two Certainties of Life: Death & Taxation

    20-04-2017

    Economic commentators who focus on developments in the GCC have recently highlighted unsubstantiated rumours of changes ahead in the fiscal development of the region.  According to this ‘rumour mill’, the UAE continues to be concerned to balance the country’s economy over the long-term as the country, like the rest of the Gulf, confronts the twin challenges of a still-stuttering global economy, particularly manifested in reduced demand from Asia, and persistently low oil prices that continue to make a direct impact on the public finances of GCC member-states.

    img Angus Taverner
    Director- Global Affairs


  • SCO approves membership of India, Pakistan, rejects Iran “Russia's insincere enthusiasm to add Tehran to SCO”

    21-06-2017

    The summit of Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) was held in capital of Kazakhstan "Astana" on Thursday and Friday, 8 and 9 June 2017. This organization was established under a Russian-Chinese initiative in June 2001, and its statement of establishment was signed by 6 countries, which are Russia, China, Kazakhstan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan, in addition to the member countries.  Six countries of India, Pakistan, Afghanistan, Belarus, Iran and Mongolia contributed in works of the organization, and six countries of Azerbaijan, Armenia, Cambodia, Nepal, Turkey and Sri Lanka contributed in cooperation.

    img Dr. Elmoghazy ElBadrawi
    Contributing Experts: Writer & Political Analyst


  • Why Youth Policy?

    06-08-2017

    There is more than one reason for policy researchers to turn their eyes to youth. In the Middle East, the discourse on youth has transformed tremendously reaching a point where making policy for and with youth seemed necessary.  There has been great interest in the growing young population of the region during the past 3 decades in demographic research. The “Youth Bulge” was a “demographic bonus” that necessitated extensive socio-economic development.  

    img Fatima Sultan
    Senior Resident Fellow- Public Policy


  • Gulf Economies, Markets and the Collapse Scenario

    30-08-2017

    Since the 1990s, the economies of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states, especially the controlling economies, such as the economy of Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and the economy of the United Arab Emirates, have shifted to global economies after being more of regional economies (economies of the Middle East). The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia was selected as member of the G20 since its establishment, during the G8 meeting on September 25, 1999 in Washington, to serve as a platform for a comprehensive dialogue between the developed and the emerging countries, in a way that is more representative and realistic of the latest developments of global economic power centers and more effective than the G8.

    img Fatima Sultan
    Senior Resident Fellow- Public Policy


  • Great Economic Collapse...Speculation and Reality

    20-08-2017

    In the meeting held by "Henry Blodget”, Chief Executive Chairman of the Business Insider Website, in May 2017with a senior trader of world stock markets "Jim Rogers"(Published in Business Insider website by Jackie Frank and Cara Chin on June 9, 2017). The latter asserts that the worst collapse in the world capital markets will occur during this year or in the next year at the latest. 

    img Fatima Sultan
    Senior Resident Fellow- Public Policy


  • Commercial Sector has to take responsibility of degradation of Arabic Language

    07-09-2017

    Can the misuse of the language including its words, and grammar rules in publicity and notoriety be considered as a legal offense of some kind or misdemeanor?  Theoretically, no one would agree to consider this more than an error requiring correction and perhaps this calls for nothing due to being a normal result. However, would the issue be changed if it was regarded within the frame of the current degradation of the Arabic Language among the new generations of the Arab and especially, here, in the Gulf region? 

    img Mohammad Fadhel Al Obaidly
    Advisor, Public Opinion Research Center


  • Economic Diversification- A UAE Strongpoint

    26-09-2017

    Since the beginning of oil exports from the UAE in 1962 international commentators have perceived the Emirates as an oil dependent nation whose economic structure is dominated by crude exports. Such commentators are aware that the vast percentage of these oil exports are sourced from Abu Dhabi with Dubai holding far less oil than its Emirati counterpart. With around 40 per cent of the UAE’s GDP directly based on oil and gas output, its economic dependency on an approaching world without oil reliance, has fascinated many energy analysts. Since the formation of the UAE in 1971 diversification away from petroleum dependency has been a clearly stated objective of the government. 

    img Rebecca Simpson
    Non- Resident Fellow , Global Affairs


  • 01-10-2017


    img Rebecca Simpson
    Non- Resident Fellow , Global Affairs


  • UAE’S ECONOMY: A POST-OIL MODEL FOR THE FUTURE

    08-10-2017

    This week, international analysts watched closely as Abu Dhabi launched a $10 billion bond in three tranches: $3 billion over 5 years; $4 billion over 10 years; and $3 billion over 30 years.  The sale was oversubscribed three times with $30 billion offered for investment in Abu Dhabi.  Given continued strategic and political instability across the wider Middle East region and the slow pace of recovery in oil prices on world markets, the strong demand for exposure to Abu Dhabi was widely seen as the latest indicator of the role the UAE continues to play as a model of stability and economic development that other countries in the region increasingly seek to emulate.  Indeed, by coincidence, and with the kind of diplomatic gaffe that has come to be associated with Britain&rsqu

    img Angus Taverner
    Director- Global Affairs


  • 25-10-2017


    img Mohammad Fadhel Al Obaidly
    Advisor, Public Opinion Research Center